Is There Any Time-Varying Relationship between Fiscal and Trade Deficits in Turkey?

Articles > Article · 2016

Authors: Barış GÖK, Abdurrahman Nazif ÇATIK

Prague Economic Papers, Journal Indexed in SCI Expanded, International, WoS, 2016, vol 25, pp 607-616

DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.577

Summary

In this article we analyse the evolution of the relationship between budget and trade deficits in Turkey covering the period 1985:1 to 2013:4. The structural break tests suggest the existence of a regime shift after the severe 2001 crisis. Time-varying responses obtained from the TVP-VAR model up to 2003 support the Keynesian view by providing evidence in favour of twin deficits, whereas the remaining responses suggest the remarkable divergence between fiscal and trade deficits.

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